Raptors Wrap-up

What’s ugly on both sides and good in the middle?

The Toronto Raptors 2009-10 basketball season.

A slow start that only got worse was turned into a strong charge that looked like a rookie hitting the wall after the All-Star break.  The Raptors season in a flash looked like this:

Games Record Points For Points Against Diff
1-10 5-5 106.9 105.9 1.0
11-20 2-8 103.7 116.0 -12.3
21-30 6-4 100.8 100.9 -0.1
31-40 7-3 102.6 98.3 4.3
41-50 7-3 108.1 104.8 3.3
51-60 5-5 103.4 105.7 -2.3
61-70 3-7 99.6 109.2 -9.6
71-80 3-7 104.1 106.2 -2.1
81-82 2-2 121.0 105.0 16
total 40-42 104.1 105.9 -1.8

The 5-5 start to the season was actually encouraging.  The Raptors were trying to integrate nine new faces into their line-up.  Taken together with a revamped coaching staff, early season hiccups were to be expected.

The Raptors beat the mighty Cleveland Cavaliers 101-91 on opening night in the first of several big wins during the season, and Chris Bosh played out-of-his-mind for the first ten games averaging 27.7 points and 11.6 boards.

During the next ten games, the Raptors lack of cohesion come to the fore as the team went 2-8 giving up 116 points per game.  A five game losing streak was punctuated by a 115-146 loss in Atlanta.

At 7-13, the Raptors looked like a team that was falling apart.  But things were about to change.

A team meeting following public statements from Antoine Wright and Jarrett Jack, that brought Raptors President and GM Bryan Colangelo out of his office to find out what had happened, seemed to turn things around.

In the next 35 games, Toronto went 24-11 and was solidly in fifth place in the East. The Raptors were within easy striking distance of the faltering Boston Celtics.

Jose Calderon was lost early in December to injury for a month and Jarrett Jack was handed the starting role.  A team that began to win just before Calderon went down didn’t miss a beat.

The much maligned Marcus Banks proved to be a capable back-up on most nights.  Even winning some unexpected admiration and support from the fans.

At the All-Star break the team had tied the franchise record for wins to that point in the season with 29.  Playoffs for the Raptors looked to be a virtual certainty.

During this period, the Raptors were not unbeatable by any stretch of the imagination.  But they played well on most nights and accumulated some impressive victories.

With a certain measure of revenge for seasons past, the Raptors demolished the Detroit Pistons at the Palace 94-64.

And for the benefit of their home fans, the Raptors defeated:

  1. San Antonio Spurs 91-86;
  2. Orlando Magic 108-103;
  3. Dallas Mavericks 110-88; and,
  4. LA Lakers 106-105.

It wouldn’t be until later in the season that the road losses to the Pacers, twice and the Bucks, twice would come back to haunt them.

Andrea Bargnani found his defensive presence during this 35 game stretch and racked up 16 multiple block games.  His post defense in Raptors wins against some of the league’s best big men was impressive.

Then in the first game back after the All-Star break, Chris Bosh injures his ankle blocking a shot and the Raptors winning ways came to a screeching halt.

In the 11 wins after the break, the Raptors only managed to defeat teams with winning records twice and lost to the likes of: Golden State (twice); Philadelphia 76ers at home; and the Sacramento Kings on the road.

Everything that could go wrong, did go wrong.

  1. Hedo Turkoglu, who fractured the orbital bone in his face earlier, broke his nose.
  2. Chris Bosh, struggling to find his game after returning from his ankle injury, broke his nose and mustache bone.
  3. Antoine Wright tweaked his ankle and then sprained it badly enough to be lost for the season.

And post All-Star break, games the Raptors had been winning turned to losses.

  1. OT loss to the Grizzlies 102-109;
  2. OT loss to the Cavaliers 118-126;
  3. Road loss to the Lakers 107-109 on a Kobe game winner;
  4. Loss to Denver 96-97 on Anthony’s buzzer beater;
  5. Road loss to the Heat 94-97; and,
  6. The painful home loss to the Warriors 112-113 when Bosh missed the lay-up with time expiring.

But the Toronto Raptors playoff hopes were still intact at game 80 of the season when the ninth place 38-41 Chicago Bulls arrived in Toronto to play the eighth place 38-41 Raptors.  The Raptors holding the tie-breaker.

The Bulls destroyed the Raptors at every turn in a 104-88 blow-out that Toronto was never in.

The Raptors didn’t give up after the embarrassing loss to the Bulls and easily took out the hapless Pistons and the half-hearted Knicks to close out the season.

Of note, Amir Johnson had his only 20 point games of the season with 21 against the Knicks and a career high 26 against his former team, the Pistons.

But it was too little, too late as Chicago now held the one-game advantage.  It would be the Bulls facing the Cavaliers in the first round of the 2010 playoffs.

When the Raptors were functioning with all pieces in place this season, they were a team to be reckoned with.  But as was often noted, this particular group of coaches and players seemed fragile.  And not in the injury sense.

The Raptors were slow to adapt to change at the start of the season and slow to react to change as they faced adversity during the season.  In all, it leads one to believe change is in the works.

And change will happen.  The Raptors have several players who may or may not be returning.

  1. Chris Bosh is in the option year of his contract and it appears that he has no intention of picking up that option.
  2. Amir Johnson is an unrestricted free agent.
  3. Antoine Wright is an unrestricted free agent.
  4. Rasho Nesterovic may retire?
  5. Patrick O’Bryant will not return.
  6. Sonny Weems is a team option. (Raptors have to pick that up – don’t they?)

Not to leave out the impact of Bryan Colangelo’s willingness to make deals.

After the inability of the Raptors to hold onto a playoff spot with just three games left in the season, something has to give.

11 Responses to Raptors Wrap-up

  1. homer-griffin

    Umm, Toronto did not lose to the 76ers twice at home, I think you mean Pacers. Also, they did beat the Sacramento Kings once.

    Also, what I have to day is that Bryan Colangelo may be willing to make deals, but I am not confident he’ll make the right deals, he still doesn’t realize that his vision isn’t going to bring success.

    • Brothersteve

      That was the Pacers on the road 2x. And the Raps lost to the 76ers at home in a very disappointing game which unfortunately I was at.

      The Kings loss was part of the 0-4 western road trip when they also lost to GSW – and that hurt! Raps lost too many games to teams well under .500 this season.

      I’ve still got lot’s of confidence in Colangelo’s ability to deal – but he does have something to prove now.

  2. brothersteve,

    Finishing with between 38 to 44 wins is what I forecast last summer for this season’s Raptors.

    A 40-42 record is the exact W-L mark which I first specified for the Raptors on January 4, 2010 … together with an 8th place finish, behind:

    Cleveland
    Orlando
    Boston
    Atlanta
    Charlotte
    Miami, and
    Chicago.

    Although the outcome of this season for the Raptors was a disappointment to many of the teams fans … it really shouldn’t have been seen that way, if more of the team’s fans had only paid closer attention to what certain people have to say about the goings-on with the team and less attention to a rather loud gaggle of others.

    It was a real pleasure to check in with your blog the entire season, and please keep up your good work in the years ahead!

    From my POV, you’re an open-minded person … non-judgmental to others with a different opinion to your own … and someone with a valuable perspective on the team.

    Keep On Truck’n :-)

    • Brothersteve

      Thanks

      From my point of view, the team tanked when Bosh got hurt.
      And that was the big risk from the start of the season.

      Raptors have run everything though Bosh for several seasons now and when he’s out or coming back off injury, the Raps do not play well. One could hope the rest of the guys could step it up enough to hold the fort – but it was obvious they couldn’t.

      I enjoy your blog as well. You always put out the effort to have a rationale reason for your opinions. Even if you’re not as optimistic – you factor in the risks. Solid reading.

      Eventually the Raps will dodge the bullets again and hit the high side like in 2006-07.
      Or maybe BC will put together a better team?

      And who would have thought the Bucks would be that tough – COY?

  3. The only reason the Raps finished 9th was because the Eastern Conference was so shitty.

    If the Raps were in the Western Conference, they would have ended up somewhere near the bottom of the heap.

    • Brothersteve

      I’d go with the Raps finished 9th because Bosh got hurt.

      If Bosh didn’t hurt his ankle vs Memphis, the Raps would have won 47 games.
      But one can’t change the past.

      And unfortunately, if Weems or Wright had of started for the season (DD hurt the starting line-up), and Triano had of avoided that weak 2-point guard line-up, the Raps could have picked up an additional 4-6 games. But no one saw that coming.

      Next season.

  4. brothersteve,

    IMO, it’s not an accurate assessment to say that the Raptors only won 40 games because Bosh got hurt … and, that without his injury this team would have won 47 games.

    It might be more correct to suggest something like this, instead:

    The Raptors won 40 games this season because Boosh got hurt … AND the remainder of the coaches plus the coaching staff failed to pick up the slack BECAUSE the team’s GM did a poor job of assembling the type of roster which is needed to compensate for that type of situation AND in terms of establishing the WRONG set of expectations for the season, on the whole, in advance … yet again.

    The main reason this year’s team missed the playoffs is because of the less-than stellar work of their GM, Bryan Colangelo, and his staff.

    If the Raptors are going to make any long term progress as an organization Bryan Colangelo is going to have to DO A BETTER JOB … beginning right away when his next task is re-signing the team’s best player, Chris Bosh.

    As a general rule …

    1. The best teams in the NBA do NOT get better by FAILING to re-sign their own best players.

    2. Teams in the NBA that FAIL to re-sign their own best players are destined to achieve TREADMILL STATUS; nothing more and nothing less.

    • Brothersteve

      Tough to argue the coaches didn’t fail to bring the team along after Bosh got hurt. They failed.

      Also tough to argue teams get better by failing to re-sign their best player(s). They haven’t.

      Lot’s of work to be done on those sides.

      It’s been tough watching a rookie coach learning the ropes – at this point, I hope it was worth it.

      And it’ll take some better than average work at the GM level to turn a CB4 S&T plus other trades/acquisitions into a better team.

      But I believe that’s what we are looking at.

  5. sorry … that should ead as:

    ” … the remainder of the players plus the coaching staff … “